Analysis
The Small-Sample Problem: Why One Great Season Rarely Predicts the Next
Breakout years feel like destiny. The maths says most of them are noise wearing a highlights reel.
Analysis
Tactical and statistical breakdowns of matches and seasons: shape, pressing triggers, matchup exploitation and the metrics that survive a small sample.
Analysis
How Defensive Pressing Triggers Win Possession Back in the Final Third
The high press only works when the whole team reads the same cue at the same time. Here is what that cue actually looks like.
Analysis
Why ESPN Made Less Money From a Record NBA Season
The NBA's new $76 billion TV deal produced a record $2.11 billion ad haul in its first season — and still left the league's longest-running broadcast partner writing a smaller check than before.
Analysis
How the F1 Cost Cap Fueled the Rise of the Midfield
The F1 cost cap handed clever midfield teams a weapon money couldn't buy — and the 2024 constructors' fight proved it worked.
Analysis
What Load Management Data Actually Shows About Resting Stars
Load management data shows rest works game-to-game but proves far less about seasons — and the NBA bet rules on the weaker claim.
Analysis
Why MLS Expansion Fees Keep Climbing Into the Stratosphere
MLS expansion fees keep climbing because each new franchise buys a share of the Apple deal, the World Cup wave, and a closed league's scarcity.